Registry · Priors

construct.proactive_personality predicts construct.task_performance

normal · informative · 2 studies · N = 4,807

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.184, 0.397]; mean ≈ 0.291.0.07360.1820.2910.3990.508z0density

mean ≈ 0.291 · 95% CI ≈ [0.184, 0.397]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.185, 0.381]; mean ≈ 0.283.0.08300.1830.2830.3830.483r0density

mean ≈ 0.283 · 95% CI ≈ [0.185, 0.381]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.18, 0.38]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[0.15, 0.41]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
91%

The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.

SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.28 (k=2, high heterogeneity (I²=0.91)); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.28k = 2 · N = 4,807

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.290682, 0.0542759);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.290682, sigma=0.0542759)
brms::prior(normal(0.290682, 0.0542759), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.290682, sd = 0.0542759)
np.random.normal(loc=0.290682, scale=0.0542759, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.9113, mu = 0.2907, sigma = 0.05428, r_mean = 0.2828, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.005378

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
4,807
Last updated
2026-05-30T21:47:54.749Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.