Registry · Priors

construct.proactive_personality predicts construct.job_satisfaction

normal · informative · 2 studies · N = 7,125

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.286, 0.332]; mean ≈ 0.309.0.2620.2850.3090.3330.356z0density

mean ≈ 0.309 · 95% CI ≈ [0.286, 0.332]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.278, 0.321]; mean ≈ 0.300.0.2560.2780.3000.3210.343r0density

mean ≈ 0.300 · 95% CI ≈ [0.278, 0.321]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.28, 0.32]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[0.30, 0.30]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
0% — studies largely agree

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.30 (k=2, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.30k = 2 · N = 7,125

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.308989, 0.0118329);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.308989, sigma=0.0118329)
brms::prior(normal(0.308989, 0.0118329), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.308989, sd = 0.0118329)
np.random.normal(loc=0.308989, scale=0.0118329, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.000, mu = 0.3090, sigma = 0.01183, r_mean = 0.2995, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.000, fisher_z_bias = -0.0002365, r_mean_bare_bones = 0.2998

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
7,125
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:06:15.670Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A1
B1
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.