Registry · Priors

construct.organizational_politics predicts construct.organizational_commitment

normal · weakly_informative · 2 studies · N = 100

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.679, -0.373]; mean ≈ -0.526.-0.839-0.682-0.526-0.369-0.213z0density

mean ≈ -0.526 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.679, -0.373]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.600, -0.365]; mean ≈ -0.482.-0.722-0.602-0.482-0.362-0.242r0density

mean ≈ -0.482 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.600, -0.365]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.59, -0.36]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.55, -0.41]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
18% — studies largely agree

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.48 (k=2, replication: replicated); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.48k = 2 · N = 100

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.525924, 0.0782318);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.525924, sigma=0.0782318)
brms::prior(normal(-0.525924, 0.0782318), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.525924, sd = 0.0782318)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.525924, scale=0.0782318, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.1830, mu = -0.5259, sigma = 0.07823, r_mean = -0.4823, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.002240, fisher_z_bias = -0.002259, r_mean_bare_bones = -0.4800

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
replicated
k_studies
2
n_total
100
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:06:55.906Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.