Registry · Priors

construct.organizational_identification predicts construct.turnover_intention

normal · weakly_informative · 2 studies · N = 44,085

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.539, -0.458]; mean ≈ -0.498.-0.581-0.539-0.498-0.457-0.416z0density

mean ≈ -0.498 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.539, -0.458]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.493, -0.429]; mean ≈ -0.461.-0.526-0.493-0.461-0.428-0.396r0density

mean ≈ -0.461 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.493, -0.429]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.49, -0.43]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.50, -0.42]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
92% — the contributing studies disagree almost completely; read the pooled value as a midpoint of conflicting findings, not as one population's effect

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.46 (k=2, high heterogeneity (I²=0.92)); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.46k = 2 · N = 44,085

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.498275, 0.0206096);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.498275, sigma=0.0206096)
brms::prior(normal(-0.498275, 0.0206096), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.498275, sd = 0.0206096)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.498275, scale=0.0206096, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.9236, mu = -0.4983, sigma = 0.02061, r_mean = -0.4608, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.0005502, fisher_z_bias = -0.0006013, r_mean_bare_bones = -0.4602

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
44,085
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:06:14.634Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A1
B0
C1
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.