construct.met_expectations predicts construct.voluntary_turnover
normal · informative · 4 studies · N = 22,013
Distribution
Intervals
- Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
- [-0.20, -0.11]
- Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
- [-0.23, -0.08]
- I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
- 80%
The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.
SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)
Evidence provenance
published ρ=-0.16 (k=4, high heterogeneity (I²=0.80)); no primary-deployment evidence yet
| Source | ρ (r) | Scope |
|---|---|---|
| Published literature | -0.16 | k = 4 · N = 22,013 |
- high heterogeneity (I²=0.80)
- replication: meta-analytic
- aging literature (freshness=0.28)
No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.
Code
Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.
target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.158667, 0.024171);beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.158667, sigma=0.024171)brms::prior(normal(-0.158667, 0.024171), class = "b")# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.158667, sd = 0.024171)np.random.normal(loc=-0.158667, scale=0.024171, size=N)Parameters
| Family | Parameters |
|---|---|
| normal | I2 = 0.8035, mu = -0.1587, sigma = 0.02417, r_mean = -0.1573, k_studies = 4.000, tau_squared = 0.001532 |
Synthesis
- Method
- random_effects_meta
- Informativeness
- informative
- Replication status
- meta-analytic
- k_studies
- 4
- n_total
- 22,013
- Last updated
- 2026-05-31T01:07:47.617Z
Quality distribution
| Grade | Count |
|---|---|
| A | 4 |
| B | 0 |
| C | 0 |
| D | 0 |
Contributing effect sizes
Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.