Registry · Priors

construct.job_satisfaction predicts construct.task_performance

normal · informative · 4 studies · N = 108,934

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.301, 0.326]; mean ≈ 0.313.0.2870.3000.3130.3270.340z0density

mean ≈ 0.313 · 95% CI ≈ [0.301, 0.326]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.292, 0.315]; mean ≈ 0.304.0.2800.2920.3040.3150.327r0density

mean ≈ 0.304 · 95% CI ≈ [0.292, 0.315]

Historical evidence. This prior's contributing evidence is older than 15 years on average (centroid year 2001.53, ≈24.470000000000027 years old); treat the estimate as historical.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.29, 0.32]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[0.29, 0.32]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
60%

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.30 (k=4, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.30k = 4 · N = 108,934

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.313488, 0.00650954);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.313488, sigma=0.00650954)
brms::prior(normal(0.313488, 0.00650954), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.313488, sd = 0.00650954)
np.random.normal(loc=0.313488, scale=0.00650954, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.6015, mu = 0.3135, sigma = 0.006510, r_mean = 0.3036, k_studies = 4.000, tau_squared = 0.00007673

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
4
n_total
108,934
Last updated
2026-05-30T21:47:57.580Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A4
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.