Registry · Priors

construct.turnover_intention predicts construct.voluntary_turnover

normal · weakly_informative · 3 studies · N = 136,687

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.330, 0.720]; mean ≈ 0.525.0.1270.3260.5250.7240.923z0density

mean ≈ 0.525 · 95% CI ≈ [0.330, 0.720]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.332, 0.631]; mean ≈ 0.482.0.1760.3290.4820.6350.787r0density

mean ≈ 0.482 · 95% CI ≈ [0.332, 0.631]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.32, 0.62]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[0.20, 0.69]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
100% — the contributing studies disagree almost completely; read the pooled value as a midpoint of conflicting findings, not as one population's effect

The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.

SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.48 (k=3, high heterogeneity (I²=1.00)); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.48k = 3 · N = 136,687

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.525238, 0.0994798);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.525238, sigma=0.0994798)
brms::prior(normal(0.525238, 0.0994798), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.525238, sd = 0.0994798)
np.random.normal(loc=0.525238, scale=0.0994798, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.9989, mu = 0.5252, sigma = 0.09948, r_mean = 0.4817, k_studies = 3.000, tau_squared = 0.02700, fisher_z_bias = 0.005023, r_mean_bare_bones = 0.4767

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
3
n_total
136,687
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:07:52.141Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A3
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.