Registry · Priors

construct.trust_in_organization predicts construct.task_performance

normal · informative · 2 studies · N = 17,119

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.292, 0.357]; mean ≈ 0.324.0.2580.2910.3240.3570.391z0density

mean ≈ 0.324 · 95% CI ≈ [0.292, 0.357]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.284, 0.343]; mean ≈ 0.313.0.2540.2840.3130.3430.373r0density

mean ≈ 0.313 · 95% CI ≈ [0.284, 0.343]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.28, 0.34]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[0.28, 0.35]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
74%

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.31 (k=2, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.31k = 2 · N = 17,119

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.324324, 0.0165513);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.324324, sigma=0.0165513)
brms::prior(normal(0.324324, 0.0165513), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.324324, sd = 0.0165513)
np.random.normal(loc=0.324324, scale=0.0165513, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.7416, mu = 0.3243, sigma = 0.01655, r_mean = 0.3134, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.0004114

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
17,119
Last updated
2026-05-29T15:21:19.298Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.