construct.training predicts construct.training_performance
normal · informative · 5 studies · N = 30,462
Distribution
Intervals
- Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
- [0.50, 0.66]
- Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
- [0.44, 0.69]
- I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
- 47%
The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.
SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)
Evidence provenance
published ρ=0.58 (k=5, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet
| Source | ρ (r) | Scope |
|---|---|---|
| Published literature | 0.58 | k = 5 · N = 30,462 |
- replication: meta-analytic
No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.
Code
Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.
target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.664, 0.0616117);beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.664, sigma=0.0616117)brms::prior(normal(0.664, 0.0616117), class = "b")# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.664, sd = 0.0616117)np.random.normal(loc=0.664, scale=0.0616117, size=N)Parameters
| Family | Parameters |
|---|---|
| normal | I2 = 0.4731, mu = 0.6640, sigma = 0.06161, k_studies = 5.000, tau_squared = 0.008980 |
Synthesis
- Method
- random_effects_meta
- Informativeness
- informative
- Replication status
- meta-analytic
- k_studies
- 5
- n_total
- 30,462
- Last updated
- 2026-05-31T01:07:49.275Z
Quality distribution
| Grade | Count |
|---|---|
| A | 5 |
| B | 0 |
| C | 0 |
| D | 0 |
Contributing effect sizes
- effect.9166112cfd539a15
- effect.2a528bfd88144f96
- effect.c32173998d4ff8e6
- effect.7a83d39f755a5130
- effect.305e3b58011bfdb2
Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.