construct.training predicts construct.task_performance
normal · informative · 3 studies · N = 17,363
Distribution
Intervals
- Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
- [0.34, 0.61]
- Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
- [0.30, 0.63]
- I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
- 54%
The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.
SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)
Evidence provenance
published ρ=0.48 (k=3, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet
| Source | ρ (r) | Scope |
|---|---|---|
| Published literature | 0.48 | k = 3 · N = 17,363 |
- replication: meta-analytic
No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.
Code
Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.
target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.525185, 0.0897184);beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.525185, sigma=0.0897184)brms::prior(normal(0.525185, 0.0897184), class = "b")# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.525185, sd = 0.0897184)np.random.normal(loc=0.525185, scale=0.0897184, size=N)Parameters
| Family | Parameters |
|---|---|
| normal | I2 = 0.5399, mu = 0.5252, sigma = 0.08972, k_studies = 3.000, tau_squared = 0.01173 |
Synthesis
- Method
- random_effects_meta
- Informativeness
- informative
- Replication status
- meta-analytic
- k_studies
- 3
- n_total
- 17,363
- Last updated
- 2026-05-31T01:07:48.894Z
Quality distribution
| Grade | Count |
|---|---|
| A | 2 |
| B | 1 |
| C | 0 |
| D | 0 |
Contributing effect sizes
Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.