construct.situational_interviews predicts construct.task_performance
normal · informative · 3 studies · N = 1,046
Distribution
Historical evidence. This prior's contributing evidence is older than 15 years on average (centroid year 1995.03, ≈30.970000000000027 years old); treat the estimate as historical.
Intervals
- Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
- [0.45, 0.54]
- Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
- [0.49, 0.49]
- I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
- 0% — studies largely agree
The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.
SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)
Evidence provenance
published ρ=0.49 (k=3, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet
| Source | ρ (r) | Scope |
|---|---|---|
| Published literature | 0.49 | k = 3 · N = 1,046 |
- replication: meta-analytic
- aging literature (freshness=0.28)
No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.
Code
Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.
target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.541034, 0.0299745);beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.541034, sigma=0.0299745)brms::prior(normal(0.541034, 0.0299745), class = "b")# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.541034, sd = 0.0299745)np.random.normal(loc=0.541034, scale=0.0299745, size=N)Parameters
| Family | Parameters |
|---|---|
| normal | I2 = 0.000, mu = 0.5410, sigma = 0.02997, r_mean = 0.4938, k_studies = 3.000, tau_squared = 0.000, fisher_z_bias = -0.002787, r_mean_bare_bones = 0.4966 |
Synthesis
- Method
- random_effects_meta
- Informativeness
- informative
- Replication status
- meta-analytic
- k_studies
- 3
- n_total
- 1,046
- Last updated
- 2026-07-16T01:07:41.274Z
Quality distribution
| Grade | Count |
|---|---|
| A | 2 |
| B | 1 |
| C | 0 |
| D | 0 |
Source articles
The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).
Asking applicants what they <i>would do</i> versus what they <i>did do</i> : A meta‐analytic comparison of situational and past behaviour employment interview questions
The validity of employment interviews: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis.
Contributing effect sizes
Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.