Registry · Priors

construct.regulatory_focus predicts construct.task_performance

normal · weakly_informative · 2 studies · N = 100

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.281, 0.458]; mean ≈ 0.0883.-0.666-0.2890.08830.4650.843z0density

mean ≈ 0.0883 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.281, 0.458]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.279, 0.455]; mean ≈ 0.0880.-0.661-0.2860.08800.4620.837r0density

mean ≈ 0.0880 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.279, 0.455]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.27, 0.43]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.38, 0.52]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
86% — considerable heterogeneity; moderators likely dominate

The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.

SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.09 (k=2, high heterogeneity (I²=0.86)); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.09k = 2 · N = 100

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.0882642, 0.1886);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.0882642, sigma=0.1886)
brms::prior(normal(0.0882642, 0.1886), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.0882642, sd = 0.1886)
np.random.normal(loc=0.0882642, scale=0.1886, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.8594, mu = 0.08826, sigma = 0.1886, r_mean = 0.08804, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.06114, fisher_z_bias = 0.003036, r_mean_bare_bones = 0.08500

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
replicated
k_studies
2
n_total
100
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:08:47.886Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.