Registry · Priors

construct.predictive_validity_perceptions predicts construct.procedural_fairness

normal · weakly_informative · 1 studies · N = 8,695

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.720, 0.762]; mean ≈ 0.741.0.6990.7200.7410.7630.784z0density

mean ≈ 0.741 · 95% CI ≈ [0.720, 0.762]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.617, 0.643]; mean ≈ 0.630.0.6040.6170.6300.6430.656r0density

mean ≈ 0.630 · 95% CI ≈ [0.617, 0.643]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Historical evidence. This prior's contributing evidence is older than 15 years on average (centroid year 2004, ≈22 years old); treat the estimate as historical.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.62, 0.64]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
— needs ≥2 studies to estimate (k = 1)
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
— needs ≥2 studies to estimate

k<2 — between-study heterogeneity not estimable; credibility interval / generalization not assessed

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.63 (k=1, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.63k = 1 · N = 8,695

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.741416, 0.0107261);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.741416, sigma=0.0107261)
brms::prior(normal(0.741416, 0.0107261), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.741416, sd = 0.0107261)
np.random.normal(loc=0.741416, scale=0.0107261, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalmu = 0.7414, sigma = 0.01073, r_mean = 0.6300, k_studies = 1.000, tau_squared = 0.000

Synthesis

Method
single_study
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
1
n_total
8,695
Last updated
2026-05-29T15:21:30.096Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A1
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.