Registry · Priors

construct.pay_level predicts construct.voluntary_turnover

normal · weakly_informative · 1 studies · N = 14,191

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.107, -0.0738]; mean ≈ -0.0902.-0.124-0.107-0.0902-0.0735-0.0567z0density

mean ≈ -0.0902 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.107, -0.0738]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.106, -0.0737]; mean ≈ -0.0900.-0.123-0.107-0.0900-0.0733-0.0567r0density

mean ≈ -0.0900 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.106, -0.0737]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Historical evidence. This prior's contributing evidence is older than 15 years on average (centroid year 2000, ≈26 years old); treat the estimate as historical.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.11, -0.07]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
— needs ≥2 studies to estimate (k = 1)
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
— needs ≥2 studies to estimate

k<2 — between-study heterogeneity not estimable; credibility interval / generalization not assessed

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.09 (k=1, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.09k = 1 · N = 14,191

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.0902442, 0.00839536);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.0902442, sigma=0.00839536)
brms::prior(normal(-0.0902442, 0.00839536), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.0902442, sd = 0.00839536)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.0902442, scale=0.00839536, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalmu = -0.09024, sigma = 0.008395, r_mean = -0.09000, k_studies = 1.000, tau_squared = 0.000

Synthesis

Method
single_study
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
1
n_total
14,191
Last updated
2026-05-30T22:53:20.472Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A1
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.