Registry · Priors

construct.negative_affect predicts construct.organizational_citizenship_behavior_ocb

normal · weakly_informative · 2 studies · N = 100

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.269, 0.00773]; mean ≈ -0.131.-0.414-0.272-0.1310.01060.152z0density

mean ≈ -0.131 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.269, 0.00773]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.266, 0.00612]; mean ≈ -0.130.-0.408-0.269-0.1300.008910.148r0density

mean ≈ -0.130 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.266, 0.00612]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.26, 0.01]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.13, -0.13]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
0% — studies largely agree

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.13 (k=2, replication: replicated); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.13k = 2 · N = 100

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.130861, 0.0707107);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.130861, sigma=0.0707107)
brms::prior(normal(-0.130861, 0.0707107), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.130861, sd = 0.0707107)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.130861, scale=0.0707107, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.000, mu = -0.1309, sigma = 0.07071, r_mean = -0.1301, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.000, fisher_z_bias = -0.0001191, r_mean_bare_bones = -0.1300

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
replicated
k_studies
2
n_total
100
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:08:44.484Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.