Registry · Priors

construct.job_search predicts construct.voluntary_turnover

normal · weakly_informative · 1 studies · N = 18,685

Distribution

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ

[0.39, 0.41]

Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)

— needs ≥2 studies to estimate (k = 1)

I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences

— needs ≥2 studies to estimate

k<2 — between-study heterogeneity not estimable; credibility interval / generalization not assessed

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.40 (k=1, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

• replication: meta-analytic

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.423649, 0.00731625);

beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.423649, sigma=0.00731625)

brms::prior(normal(0.423649, 0.00731625), class = "b")

# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.423649, sd = 0.00731625)

np.random.normal(loc=0.423649, scale=0.00731625, size=N)

Parameters

Synthesis

Method

single_study

Informativeness

weakly_informative

Replication status

meta-analytic

k_studies

1

n_total

18,685

Last updated

2026-05-30T18:11:46.555Z

Quality distribution

Contributing effect sizes

• effect.85fb4e7a89a92b8d

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.