Registry · Priors

construct.job_satisfaction predicts construct.voluntary_turnover

normal · weakly_informative · 4 studies · N = 156,807

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.313, -0.147]; mean ≈ -0.230.-0.399-0.314-0.230-0.145-0.0610z0density

mean ≈ -0.230 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.313, -0.147]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.305, -0.147]; mean ≈ -0.226.-0.386-0.306-0.226-0.146-0.0656r0density

mean ≈ -0.226 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.305, -0.147]

Weakly informative prior. This prior is weakly informative. It will nudge your posterior but won't overwhelm it; expect data to do most of the work in modest samples.

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.30, -0.15]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.35, -0.09]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
99% — the contributing studies disagree almost completely; read the pooled value as a midpoint of conflicting findings, not as one population's effect

The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.

SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.23 (k=4, high heterogeneity (I²=0.99)); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.23k = 4 · N = 156,807

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.229925, 0.0422352);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.229925, sigma=0.0422352)
brms::prior(normal(-0.229925, 0.0422352), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.229925, sd = 0.0422352)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.229925, scale=0.0422352, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.9921, mu = -0.2299, sigma = 0.04224, r_mean = -0.2260, k_studies = 4.000, tau_squared = 0.005032, fisher_z_bias = 0.02939, r_mean_bare_bones = -0.2553

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
weakly_informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
4
n_total
156,807
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:07:47.234Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A3
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.