Registry · Priors

construct.job_satisfaction predicts construct.turnover_intention

normal · informative · 3 studies · N = 312,361

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.660, -0.486]; mean ≈ -0.573.-0.751-0.662-0.573-0.484-0.395z0density

mean ≈ -0.573 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.660, -0.486]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.581, -0.454]; mean ≈ -0.518.-0.648-0.583-0.518-0.453-0.387r0density

mean ≈ -0.518 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.581, -0.454]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.58, -0.45]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.59, -0.44]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
35% — moderate heterogeneity

The true effect varies across settings — moderators likely matter.

SD_ρ>0 — true effect varies across settings; likely moderated (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.52 (k=3, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.52k = 3 · N = 312,361

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.573106, 0.0444473);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.573106, sigma=0.0444473)
brms::prior(normal(-0.573106, 0.0444473), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.573106, sd = 0.0444473)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.573106, scale=0.0444473, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.3492, mu = -0.5731, sigma = 0.04445, r_mean = -0.5176, k_studies = 3.000, tau_squared = 0.002684, fisher_z_bias = 0.002359, r_mean_bare_bones = -0.5200

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
3
n_total
312,361
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:05:54.234Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B1
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.