Registry · Priors

construct.employee_well_being predicts construct.task_performance

normal · informative · 2 studies · N = 8,371

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [0.352, 0.395]; mean ≈ 0.374.0.3300.3520.3740.3960.418z0density

mean ≈ 0.374 · 95% CI ≈ [0.352, 0.395]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [0.338, 0.376]; mean ≈ 0.357.0.3190.3380.3570.3770.396r0density

mean ≈ 0.357 · 95% CI ≈ [0.338, 0.376]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[0.34, 0.38]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[0.35, 0.36]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
2% — studies largely agree

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=0.36 (k=2, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature0.36k = 2 · N = 8,371

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | 0.373787, 0.0110504);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=0.373787, sigma=0.0110504)
brms::prior(normal(0.373787, 0.0110504), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = 0.373787, sd = 0.0110504)
np.random.normal(loc=0.373787, scale=0.0110504, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.01806, mu = 0.3738, sigma = 0.01105, r_mean = 0.3573, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.000004767, fisher_z_bias = 0.00008655, r_mean_bare_bones = 0.3572

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
8,371
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:07:29.401Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.