Registry · Priors

construct.demographic_diversity predicts construct.team_performance

normal · informative · 3 studies · N = 8,857

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.0306, 0.0109]; mean ≈ -0.00984.-0.0521-0.0310-0.009840.01130.0324z0density

mean ≈ -0.00984 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.0306, 0.0109]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.0306, 0.0109]; mean ≈ -0.00984.-0.0521-0.0310-0.009840.01130.0324r0density

mean ≈ -0.00984 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.0306, 0.0109]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.03, 0.01]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.01, -0.01]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
0%

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.01 (k=3, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.01k = 3 · N = 8,857

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.00984399, 0.010568);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.00984399, sigma=0.010568)
brms::prior(normal(-0.00984399, 0.010568), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.00984399, sd = 0.010568)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.00984399, scale=0.010568, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.000, mu = -0.009844, sigma = 0.01057, r_mean = -0.009844, k_studies = 3.000, tau_squared = 0.000

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
3
n_total
8,857
Last updated
2026-05-30T19:49:55.161Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A3
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.