Registry · Priors

construct.collective_turnover predicts construct.customer_satisfaction

normal · informative · 2 studies · N = 4,270

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.180, -0.120]; mean ≈ -0.150.-0.211-0.180-0.150-0.120-0.0891z0density

mean ≈ -0.150 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.180, -0.120]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.178, -0.120]; mean ≈ -0.149.-0.208-0.179-0.149-0.119-0.0893r0density

mean ≈ -0.149 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.178, -0.120]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.18, -0.12]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.15, -0.15]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
0% — studies largely agree

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.15 (k=2, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.15k = 2 · N = 4,270

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.149964, 0.0152198);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.149964, sigma=0.0152198)
brms::prior(normal(-0.149964, 0.0152198), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.149964, sd = 0.0152198)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.149964, scale=0.0152198, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.000, mu = -0.1500, sigma = 0.01522, r_mean = -0.1488, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.000, fisher_z_bias = 0.0005651, r_mean_bare_bones = -0.1494

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
4,270
Last updated
2026-07-16T01:08:23.113Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Source articles

The research this prior is synthesized from — each is a full dossier (findings, the models it informs, and what the literature says).

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.