Registry · Priors

construct.abusive_supervision predicts construct.task_performance

normal · informative · 2 studies · N = 4,062

Distribution

Storage scale (Fisher z)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Storage scale (Fisher z). 95% CI ≈ [-0.223, -0.162]; mean ≈ -0.192.-0.255-0.224-0.192-0.161-0.130z0density

mean ≈ -0.192 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.223, -0.162]

Reader scale (r)
Prior PDF · normalnormal distribution. Reader scale (r). 95% CI ≈ [-0.219, -0.161]; mean ≈ -0.190.-0.250-0.220-0.190-0.160-0.130r0density

mean ≈ -0.190 · 95% CI ≈ [-0.219, -0.161]

Intervals

Confidence interval (95%) — uncertainty about the mean ρ
[-0.22, -0.16]
Credibility interval (95%) — distribution of the true effect across settings (the Bayesian prior)
[-0.19, -0.19]
I² (heterogeneity) — share of total variance from between-study differences
0%

The true effect is ~constant across settings — it generalizes.

SD_ρ≈0 — true effect is ~constant across settings; generalizes (observed-score scale until artifact correction, PRN-058)

Evidence provenance

published ρ=-0.19 (k=2, replication: meta-analytic); no primary-deployment evidence yet

Sourceρ (r)Scope
Published literature-0.19k = 2 · N = 4,062

No primary-deployment evidence yet — this prior rests on published literature alone. As anonymized, aggregated effect sizes from real deployments are contributed, they appear here as a distinct, publication-bias-free source, fused with the literature into a posterior estimate.

Code

Drop this prior straight into your model. Snippets generated from the synthesized distribution + parameters.

target += normal_lpdf(beta | -0.192337, 0.0156003);
beta = pm.Normal("beta", mu=-0.192337, sigma=0.0156003)
brms::prior(normal(-0.192337, 0.0156003), class = "b")
# base R sample
rnorm(N, mean = -0.192337, sd = 0.0156003)
np.random.normal(loc=-0.192337, scale=0.0156003, size=N)

Parameters

FamilyParameters
normalI2 = 0.000, mu = -0.1923, sigma = 0.01560, r_mean = -0.1900, k_studies = 2.000, tau_squared = 0.000

Synthesis

Method
random_effects_meta
Informativeness
informative
Replication status
meta-analytic
k_studies
2
n_total
4,062
Last updated
2026-05-30T22:23:35.292Z

Quality distribution

GradeCount
A2
B0
C0
D0

Contributing effect sizes

Effect-size detail pages land with a later sub-ticket; for now, ids link to the filtered list. Browse all rows via /registry/effects.